Anatomy of a Polling Failure: Part 2.1 (The Aggregators Strike Back)
Thank you very much to all who read Part 1 (why elite pundits were motivated to call this race so wrong from the get go), and Part 2 (the garbage polls, and garbage poll aggregators).Before we get to...
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Anatomy of a Polling Failure: Part 3 (The Fundamentalists)
Thank you very much to all who read Part 1 (why elite pundits were motivated to call this race so wrong from the get go), and Part 2 (the garbage polls, and garbage poll aggregators). In Part 3, I want...
View ArticleCarthage Must Be Destroyed
The year is 152 BC. Rome has fought two wars against its neighbor in the Mediterranean, Carthage. Although Rome was ultimately successful in both wars, it suffered a number of humiliating losses along...
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2023: Democracy Dying in Darkness is The Plan
This may be your first day back to work in 2023. I want to tie together two, seemingly unrelated stories from the end of 2022.* * *The first is our friend from Royal Island, George Santos.Look at how...
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The Polls Are Still Wrong. Let's Talk About Why.
Welcome back statisticians, masochists, and/or pollercoaster enthusiasts. When we last met, I wrote a series of diaries dissecting how (and why) the media called the 2022 midterm election so wrong. For...
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The Polls Are *Still* Wrong. Very Wrong. (Part 2)
Back in March, I wrote about how the polls this cycle are wrong, just as they were wrong in 2022. Perhaps it was out of some foolish hope the polls would self-correct as we entered the middle stretch...
View Article"Fellas, it's been good to know ya"
When suppertime came, the old cook came on deck sayin' "Fellas, it's too rough to feed ya" At 7 PM, a main hatchway caved in, he said "Fellas, it's been good to know ya""The Wreck of the Edmund...
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It's Okay to Let The Establishment Media Die
THE PATH TO JUDGMENT DAYIn the 1991 dystopic science fiction film Terminator 2: Judgment Day, America has created an artificial intelligence called Skynet, unto which it inexplicably gave control of...
View ArticleIraq War Vibes
I feel like part of my soul will forever be left at 8:00pm on Saturday night, November 2, when the famous DMR Selzer poll found Vice President Harris up by 3 on Trump. While I didn’t actually expect...
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Do You Wonder _Why_ Democrats Have Such a Hard Time Responding?
Have you wondered why our Democratic elected leaders have such a hard time responding?It’s because liberal democracy has no answer for fascism. It never has. It’s not that liberal democracy isn’t a...
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What Makes You Think There Will be a "Finding Out?"
It’s taken on faith here, and in liberal circles, that Trump voters effed around, and are they’re now about to find out. Big time. Here is today’s APR, featuring this theory. Schadenfreude is a great...
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Should Joe Biden Be The Last New Deal President?
The accomplishments of President Biden were manifold, but here are (perhaps) the biggest 23:Passed the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package to increase investment in the national network of...
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